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Verified impact decision

Decision: WARNING

Warning triggered by 1 deterministic rule(s).

20260807T053217Z-544a48PUBLISHED

01

Proposed change

Source column
transactions_last_10_minutes
Scenario
transaction-velocity-surge
Source asset
urn:li:dataset:(urn:li:dataPlatform:kafka,payments.authorized_transaction_events,PROD)
Description
A payment-fraud monitoring agent detected a sixfold transaction-velocity surge across eight percent of evaluated payments, consistent with an account-takeover-shaped stress condition.

02

DataHub impact path

Discovered from recorded DataHub MCP context; the request did not name a model.

Hop 1 · lineage urn:li:dataset:(urn:li:dataPlatform:kafka,payments.authorized_transaction_events,PROD) urn:li:dataset:(urn:li:dataPlatform:postgres,fraud.realtime_payment_features,PROD)
Hop 2 · lineage urn:li:dataset:(urn:li:dataPlatform:postgres,fraud.realtime_payment_features,PROD) urn:li:mlFeature:(realtime_payment_risk_features,transactions_last_10_minutes)
Hop 3 · lineage urn:li:mlFeature:(realtime_payment_risk_features,transactions_last_10_minutes) urn:li:mlModel:(urn:li:dataPlatform:mlflow,payment_fraud_detector_v3,PROD)

Affected production model

urn:li:mlModel:(urn:li:dataPlatform:mlflow,payment_fraud_detector_v3,PROD)

payment_fraud_detector_v3

03

Bounded experiment plan

Reproduce the observed account-takeover-shaped velocity surge against a bounded evaluation cohort and measure how the affected fraud model behaves.

OperatorColumnFractionValue
scale_numerictransactions_last_10_minutes8%6.0

04

Baseline vs mutated metrics

Experiment 1 · scale_numeric

5.5 ms
Baseline AUC0.8093
Mutated AUC0.7689
AUC drop0.0404
Prediction flips0.0380
Probability shift0.0382
Inference errors0.0000

Mutation applied to 40 of 500 evaluation rows.

05

Deterministic rule evidence

Numeric policy alone makes the decision.

WARNINGAUC drop 0.040435 reached warning threshold 0.020000 auc_drop: 0.040435 >= 0.020000

06

DataHub write-back

Published to DataHubRecorded remote status: Succeeded
Result tag
Provenance-WARN
DataHub document
urn:li:document:shared-4c6c03c6-335b-4271-9930-228ca658b570

Recorded during a live local DataHub run. This hosted page presents committed evidence and does not contact or mutate DataHub.